Black body planet
A model of the planets as black bodies is surprisingly accurate, except in one interesting case^{1}.
In theory
A black body is an ideal object which absorbs all radiation which falls on it, and then reemits it as thermal radiation. Real objects are, of course, not black bodies, but they are often surprisingly close. One nice thing about black bodies is that there are is a nice equation which relates the amount of power they radiate to their temperature:
Where is power, is area and is the StefanBoltzmann constant which is : this formula tells you the power per unit area that a black body radiates, at a given temperature.
Well, obviously you can derive this formula:
In other words temperature goes as the fourth root of power.
If you consider a ball of radius then its surface area is , so a perfectly spherical black body of radius at a uniform temperature radiates a total output power
or equivalently
OK, so consider a planet, which is a perfect blackbody, orbiting at a radius from the Sun^{2}. Let the input power flux from the Sun, at the point directly facing the Sun, be . For Earth, . We can calculate two things from this.
The total output power of the Sun, is given by the integral of over a sphere of radius :
The total power falling on the planet, , is given by the integral of over the surface of the disk of the planet which faces the Sun, and this is
So the first of these equations can be used to work out in terms of and then substituted into the second one:
If the planet is at equilibrium, then or, in other words, output and input power is the same^{3}. So
Finally, given and we can work out , and for our Sun, based on for Earth we get .
In practice
So, we can compute the surface temperatures for the rocky planets, assuming they were black bodies.
Earth. , giving or . Actual mean surface temperature is or : this is reasonably accurate.
Mercury. giving or . Actual mean surface temperature is or . This is also OK.
Mars. , giving or . Actual mean surface temperature is or . This is pretty spooky: it has no right to be this good, and is probably only this good by chance.
Pluto. , giving or . Actual mean surface temperature is or . The same is true for this: it is probably only this good by chance.
Venus. , giving or . Actual mean surface temperature is or . This is hopeless, as you would expect it to be.
These are astonishingly accurate, except for Venus, which is out by a factor of nearly two: Venus is the hottest planet in the Solar system because of a runaway greenhouse effect.
Notes
Data came from Alpha which, while I have considerable qualms about Wolfram products, is a reasonably good source of this sort of thing. I have been very casual about rounding, generally rounding to integers for both and . The temperatures don’t come with an uncertainty but I suspect that for Venus is less accurate than the others. I didn’t deal with the gas giants because they don’t have welldefined surfaces and I was just too lazy.

This is mostly an experiment with maths in frog. The conclusion is that it’s possible, but does not look great: I will stick to LaTeX. ↩

Assume also the planet is distant from the Sun so we don’t need to worry about whether light leaks around the side of the planet and so on. ↩

This assumes that the planet has a constant surface temperature, which will be true only if it conducts heat perfectly, but turns out to be a good enough approximation. ↩